THIS AVALANCHE FORECAST EXPIRED ON March 25, 2018 @ 11:59 pm
Avalanche Forecast published on March 25, 2018 @ 6:59 am
Issued by Mark Dundas - Flathead National Forest

Whitefish Range
Swan Range
Flathead Range and Glacier National Park

How to read the forecast

Yesterday's winds formed thin slabs on top of a crust at upper elevations. The snowpack is generally stable on slopes that have not been wind loaded and at lower elevations. Evaluate leeward terrain before committing to a slope.

2. Moderate

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Above 6500 ft.
Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

1. Low

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5000-6500 ft.
Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

1. Low

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3500-5000 ft.
Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.
    Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.
  • 1. Low
  • 2. Moderate
  • 3. Considerable
  • 4. High
  • 5. Extreme
Avalanche Problem 1: Wind Slab
  • Type ?
  • Aspect/Elevation ?
  • Likelihood ?
    Certain
    Very Likely
    Likely
    Possible
    Unlikely
  • Size ?
    Historic
    Very Large
    Large
    Small

Gusty southwest winds buffeted our area yesterday with Snowslip reporting 10 hours of moderate sustained with strong gusts. With limited snow available for transport slabs will be thin and isolated. Wind slab observations yesterday varied between easy to trigger and stubborn but the size was consistently small. Today expect small pockets of thin slabs resting on a crust or older settled snow on upper elevation leeward aspects. Slabs will be found just below ridgelines or on cross-loaded terrain and may resemble lens-shaped drifts. Hand pits easily identify bonding and reactivity of these features.

Forecast discussion

Wind sensors in the southern Whitefish Range and John F. Stevens reported consistent blustery conditions yesterday. The reliably windy Hornet station in the northern Whitefish Range has not reported in 24 hours. Snowslip recorded 10 hours of sustained winds above 15 mph with gusts above 25. Fortunately (unfortunately?) these winds had little surface snow to work with and resulting wind slabs are thin.  Thursday's warm humid weather formed a melt-freeze crust on shady aspects. Thursday night's weak storm left just 1 to 2" of new snow above 6000' and a rain crust at 6500' in the northern Whitefish Range and 7400' in the eastern Flathead Range. Perhaps 1-3" of snow was deposited yesterday during the cold front passage. Fresh slabs are resting on a crust which will add to their instability. Generally, stable conditions exist at low/mid elevations and at upper elevations not subjected to wind loading.

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Weather and CURRENT CONDITIONS
weather summary

The Northern Rockies is under a trough of low pressure. Expect scattered snow showers to develop this afternoon. A few showers may be strong and drop a quick inch of snow. Some gusty winds to 30 mph are possible under a shower. Showers will diminish after sunset.

Two-Day Mountain Weather Forecast Produced in partnership with the Missoula NWS
For 5000 ft. to 7000 ft.
Sunday Sunday Night Monday
Cloud Cover: Clear with increasing clouds Clouds thickening Mostly cloudy
Temperatures: 32 to 37 deg. F. 15 to 20 deg. F. 33 to 38 deg. F.
Wind Direction: SW SW SW
Wind Speed: 1 to 11 mph 1 to 11 mph 5 to 15 mph gusting to 25
Snowfall: 0 in. 0 in. 0 to 1 in.
Snow Line:
Disclaimer

This advisory applies only to backcountry areas outside established ski area boundaries. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur. This advisory expires at midnight on the posted day unless otherwise noted. The information in this advisory is provided by the USDA Forest Service who is solely responsible for its content.