THIS AVALANCHE FORECAST EXPIRED ON February 19, 2020 @ 12:01 am
Avalanche Forecast published on February 18, 2020 @ 7:01 am
Issued by Clancy Nelson - Flathead Avalanche Center

Storm snow from the weekend is stabilizing.  If there are any lingering slab instabilities, they are most likely to be found on the highest, most heavily windloaded slopes.  Otherwise, be mindful of shallow sluffing in the top few inches of snow, especially as the sun comes out this afternoon.  Continue to give sagging cornices plenty of space.  

1. Low

?

Above 6500 ft.
Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

1. Low

?

5000-6500 ft.
Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

1. Low

?

3500-5000 ft.
Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.
    Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.
  • 1. Low
  • 2. Moderate
  • 3. Considerable
  • 4. High
  • 5. Extreme
Avalanche Problem 1: Normal Caution
  • Type ?

Continue to monitor for shallow or isolated instabilities, especially if you are traveling in extreme or highly consequential terrain.  These may include shallow loose snow avalanches (sluffs) and pockets of wind drifted snow.  Give large, sagging cornices a wide berth. 

Forecast discussion

Observers yesterday reported the snowpack continuing its trend towards stability under the current mild weather pattern. Most observations highlighted a lack of cracking, unstable pit results, or avalanche activity.  A notable exception was a cornice fall triggered avalanche on Mt. Penrose sometime in the last day or two.  Continue to give cornices a healthy amount of space. Not only are they dangerous in and of themselves, but in isolated areas, we remain leery for the potential for a cornice fall to trigger a much larger deep slab avalanche in the alpine terrain of the Flathead and Glacier Park.  

The low-density snow at the surface, and new snow that falls this morning, will continue to produce shallow sluffs in very steep terrain.  These could occur naturally if the sun comes out this afternoon.  With today's relatively cool temperatures and a decent amount of cloud cover, we expect solar-triggered sluffs to be harmless in size and not a widespread issue.   Tomorrow is a different story, with plenty of direct sunshine under a warming temperature trend.  Pay attention for changing surface conditions.  

Weather and CURRENT CONDITIONS
weather summary

A high-pressure ridge is staging its entrance along the BC Coastline this morning.  Today, we remain in unsettled northwest flow ahead of the ridge.  A weak shortwave will bring flurries and cloud cover this morning, favoring the southern ranges. Winds will remain light.  Clouds should start to dissipate north to south this afternoon, starting with the Whitefish Range.  High pressure moves overhead tomorrow bringing warming temperatures and sunny skies.  

Two-Day Mountain Weather Forecast Produced in partnership with the Missoula NWS
For 5000 ft. to 7000 ft.
Tuesday Tuesday Night Wednesday
Cloud Cover: Mostly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Mostly Clear
Temperatures: 18 to 26 deg. F. 4 to 8 deg. F. 20 to 27 deg. F.
Wind Direction: West East South
Wind Speed: 0 to 10 0 to 10 0 to 10 gusting to 20
Snowfall: 1" to 4" in. 0" in. 0" in.
Snow Line: 0' 0' 0'
Disclaimer

This forecast applies only to backcountry areas outside established ski area boundaries. The forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur. This forecast expires at midnight on the posted day unless otherwise noted. The information in this forecast is provided by the USDA Forest Service who is solely responsible for its content.