THIS AVALANCHE FORECAST EXPIRED ON March 6, 2018 @ 11:50 pm
Avalanche Forecast published on March 6, 2018 @ 6:50 am
Issued by Zach Guy - Flathead Avalanche Center

Whitefish Range
Swan Range
Flathead Range and Glacier National Park

How to read the forecast

The snowpack is generally stable.  Watch for small pockets of unstable snow in high consequence terrain.  Continue to practice safe travel techniques.

1. Low

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Above 6500 ft.
Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

1. Low

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5000-6500 ft.
Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

1. Low

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3500-5000 ft.
Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.
    Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.
  • 1. Low
  • 2. Moderate
  • 3. Considerable
  • 4. High
  • 5. Extreme
Avalanche Problem 1: Wind Slab
  • Type ?
  • Aspect/Elevation ?
  • Likelihood ?
    Certain
    Very Likely
    Likely
    Possible
    Unlikely
  • Size ?
    Historic
    Very Large
    Large
    Small

Gusty southwest winds accompanied up to 4" of dense snow yesterday.  This formed shallow lenses of wind drifted snow below ridgelines or in steep gullies at high elevations.  Instabilities are most likely to be found where wind drifting overlaps with slick sun crusts that formed earlier in the week (See video). Pay attention to drifting patterns on the surface of the snow and look for cracking to identify the problem.  A small slide can have bad consequences if it drags you down a couloir, over rock bands, or into trees.  

Forecast discussion

Yesterday's intense but short-lived snow bands favored the Swan Range and brought a few inches of snow to the rest of the forecast area.  Noisy Basin picked up 4" (.6" SWE),  with smaller totals elsewhere.  Some weather stations showed strong southwest wind gusts yesterday which eased overnight.   A couple observations from yesterday pointed towards stable conditions, but I suspect there were small wind slabs forming somewhere in the alpine.  Any instabilities should be fairly short-lived, but something to watch for if you are riding or climbing in high consequence terrain.  Today's weather brings continued convective showers under calm winds, with only a couple inches in the forecast.  Spring weather is fickle.  Watch for localized heavy snowfall rates interrupted by periods of sun, which could cause small sluffs. 

Deep slab instabilities have been dormant for nearly a month.  Continue to give cornices a wide berth; they have grown to dangerously large sizes this season and can also act as triggers for larger avalanches (photo). 

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Weather and CURRENT CONDITIONS
weather summary

A low-pressure system is making its exit towards the Midwest with high pressure in its wake. We will see continued bands of short-lived, but intense convective snow showers today.  Clearing skies tonight will drop the mercury close to single digits, but temperatures will be spring-like tomorrow. 

Two-Day Mountain Weather Forecast Produced in partnership with the Missoula NWS
For 5000 ft. to 7000 ft.
Tuesday Tuesday Night Wednesday
Cloud Cover: Convective snow showers Partly cloudy Clearing skies
Temperatures: 29 to 34 deg. F. 5 to 10 deg. F. 33 to 38 deg. F.
Wind Direction: SW SW SW
Wind Speed: 0 to 10 0 to 10 0 to 10
Snowfall: 1 to 2 in. 0 in. 0 in.
Snow Line:
Disclaimer

This advisory applies only to backcountry areas outside established ski area boundaries. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur. This advisory expires at midnight on the posted day unless otherwise noted. The information in this advisory is provided by the USDA Forest Service who is solely responsible for its content.