THIS AVALANCHE FORECAST EXPIRED ON February 28, 2018 @ 12:11 am
Avalanche Forecast published on February 27, 2018 @ 7:11 am
Issued by Zach Guy - Flathead Avalanche Center

Flathead Range and Glacier National Park

How to read the forecast

The recent snow is most problematic on steep, wind loaded slopes. Be wary of thicker slabs in leeward terrain.

2. Moderate

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Above 6500 ft.
Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

2. Moderate

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5000-6500 ft.
Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

1. Low

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3500-5000 ft.
Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.
    Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.
  • 1. Low
  • 2. Moderate
  • 3. Considerable
  • 4. High
  • 5. Extreme
Avalanche Problem 1: Wind Slab
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Gusty southwest winds drifted the foot of recent snow into thicker slabs at higher and some mid elevation slopes.  Several human triggered and natural wind slabs, up to 2 feet thick, failed during the storm.  These are now more stubborn to human triggers.  Lingering instabilities are most likely to be found below corniced ridgelines or in cross-loaded terrain features.  New snow and wind today could form shallow but more sensitive drifts. Avoid these problems by steering away from thicker, denser pillows of snow. Shooting cracks, collapses, and blowing snow are signs of instability.   

Avalanche Problem 2: Deep Slab
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Deep, hard slabs remain a low likelihood but high consequence problem in the Flathead Range and Glacier Park.  Deep slabs are most likely to be triggered from shallow, rocky areas or cornice falls in alpine terrain.  At high elevations, choose terrain with deep, uniform snow coverage.  Traveling on concave slopes or terrain that is well-anchored by trees helps reduce your risk.  This blog post provides more insight into the problem.

Forecast discussion

Sunday's storm brought up to 13" of new snow and gusty southwest winds.  Backcountry travelers triggered numerous thin storm slabs  and larger wind slabs during the peak of the storm (observation).  These slides failed on low density precipitation layers that are generally quick to heal.  Yesterday, observers in the Northern Whitefish Range and Apgar Range found mending storm slab issues but noted cracking and propagating test results in wind drifted slopes.  Now 36 hours out from the brunt of the storm, we are trending the danger down and dropped storm slabs off the list.  In wind sheltered terrain, the snowpack is generally safe, but watch for isolated exceptions and shallow sluffing.  

Today's new snow and increased wind speeds should be benign, except for shallow sluffing or small pockets of drifted snow.  If today's weather surprises us with more than 6" of new snow, expect more widespread or hazardous new snow instabilities.  

 

Weather and CURRENT CONDITIONS
weather summary

Northwest flow will bring light snowfall to the mountains today. We should see 2" to 4" of new snow, with a few favored pockets wringing out half a foot.  Moderate westerly winds accompany this system.  Snowfall continues tonight, favoring the Swan Range and fizzles out tomorrow. 

Two-Day Mountain Weather Forecast Produced in partnership with the Missoula NWS
For 5000 ft. to 7000 ft.
Tuesday Tuesday Night Wednesday
Cloud Cover: Light snowfall Light snowfall Flurries lingering
Temperatures: 22 to 27 deg. F. 12 to 17 deg. F. 26 to 31 deg. F.
Wind Direction: W W SW
Wind Speed: 5 to 15 mph 5 to 15 mph 0 to 10 mph
Snowfall: 1 to 3 in. 2 to 5 in. 0 to 1 in.
Snow Line:
Disclaimer

This advisory applies only to backcountry areas outside established ski area boundaries. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur. This advisory expires at midnight on the posted day unless otherwise noted. The information in this advisory is provided by the USDA Forest Service who is solely responsible for its content.